
As Halloween approaches, it is a fitting moment to reflect on fear, not the kind found in haunted houses, but the quiet unease that can emerge when markets reach new highs. After two years of exceptional returns and record-breaking performance in the S&P
500, it is natural for investors to wonder whether the momentum can last and whether caution is warranted.
The reassuring truth is that market highs are not warnings of imminent decline. They are milestones along the path of long-term investing. Historical data supports this perspective: returns following new market highs have been comparable to those earned by investing on any random day, and at times, even stronger. In other words, new highs often reflect continued market strength rather than an approaching downturn.
Still, emotion often clouds logic in moments like these. Behavioral biases can magnify fear and prompt premature decisions. Recency bias can lead investors to expect a reversal simply because recent gains have been strong. Loss aversion can make the thought of giving back profits more painful than the satisfaction of earning them. Herd mentality can cause individuals to follow others into defensive positions even when their own strategy remains sound.
Volatility often compounds that anxiety, yet it is both inevitable and essential. Markets rise and fall as part of natural cycles that correct excesses and create fresh opportunities. Understanding your risk tolerance and maintaining alignment with long-term goals are critical. A portfolio designed for your personal objectives should give you confidence to stay invested through periods of uncertainty.
This season, resist the temptation to let market highs provoke fear. The greater risk often lies in stepping away from the market at the wrong time.
In our ongoing approach, we continue to combine optimism with prudence. While we maintain confidence in the long-term trajectory of equities, we are carefully managing risk. This means adjusting exposure where valuations appear stretched and allocating capital to areas with stronger fundamentals and sustainable growth potential. These actions help ensure your portfolio remains balanced and resilient.
If the recent market climb feels unnerving, remember that you are not navigating it alone. Your advisor is here to help interpret the landscape, keep your strategy on course, and ensure that temporary emotions do not derail long-term plans. Together, we
can keep your focus on progress rather than fear.